Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | buy | 50 | $0.809 | $40.45 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.730 |
| $36.5 |
| Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be greater than 2% in Q1 2025?No | buy | 222.53 | $0.899 | $200 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will U.S. GDP growth be between 1% and 0% in Q1 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?No | buy | 119.81 | $0.835 | $100 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | buy | 120 | $0.930 | $111.6 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between ≥4.3%?No | buy | 56.79 | $0.796 | $45.23 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.2%?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?No | buy | 51.5 | $0.840 | $43.26 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?No | buy | 110.79 | $0.451 | $50 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 100 | $0.935 | $93.5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 40.71 | $0.841 | $34.22 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 31.66 | $0.750 | $23.75 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.750 | $40 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 204.08 | $0.480 | $97.96 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 68.29 | $0.893 | $60.98 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | sell | 57.47 | $0.992 | $57.02 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 55.78 | $0.896 | $50 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14?No | buy | 50.58 | $0.948 | $47.95 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on March 14?No | buy | 52.19 | $0.958 | $50 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on March 14?Yes | buy | 72.36 | $0.691 | $50 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 238.1 | $0.380 | $90.48 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 238.09 | $0.390 | $92.86 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.420 | $200 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Rep. Al Green censured before April?Yes | buy | 53.96 | $0.927 | $50 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump's 538 approval rating be less than 46.5% on March 7?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | sell | 59.52 | $0.620 | $36.9 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | sell | 61.72 | $0.230 | $14.2 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 59.21 | $0.760 | $45 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?Yes | buy | 60.81 | $0.740 | $45 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.727 | $87.23 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?No | buy | 56.25 | $0.889 | $50 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Feb 5, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | Feb 3, 2025 |