Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 37% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 13 Feb 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 13 Feb 2025 and the lowest 10.5% on 29 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 39.5% on 22 Jan 2025. $52.56K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 3:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 13 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 37.0% |
| 13 Feb 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyDump | No | 377.54 |
| ControllTheNarative | Yes | 8.77 |
| NLo | No | 7.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Susan Collins votes to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. in the first roll-call vote over his confirmation as Secretary of Health and Human Services. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If another individual is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services for President Donald Trump, this market will resolve to “No”. If Robert Kennedy Jr. is appointed through a recess appointment, or is otherwise officially made the Secretary of Health and Human Services without a Senate vote, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official vote count published on the U.S. Senate website, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-rfk-jr
| Yes |
| 0.01 |
| Mandor | Yes | 0.01 |
| antoshkavlasio | No | 0.01 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0 |
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