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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5K | $0.935 | $4.94K | +$266.72 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5K |
| $0.915 |
| $4.92K |
| +$342.53 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5K | $0.829 | $4.37K | +$230.05 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 1.5K | $0.971 | $1.46K | +$0.19 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.52K | $0.472 | $1.27K | +$82.4 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? | No | 1.15K | $0.969 | $1.12K | +$10.46 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.01K | $0.872 | $974.67 | +$97.3 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 984.86 | $0.914 | $911 | +$10.94 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 999.54 | $0.884 | $905.58 | +$22.18 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.5K | $0.354 | $887.63 | +$1.58 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.827 | $870.01 | +$43.29 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.836 | $855 | +$19.5 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 809.78 | $0.960 | $786.7 | +$9.16 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 750.09 | $0.930 | $723.46 | +$25.88 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 749.73 | $0.859 | $701 | +$57.01 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | 605.04 | $0.850 | $517.31 | +$3.03 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.960 | $486 | +$6 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.884 | $473.5 | +$31.23 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.890 | $465 | +$20 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.824 | $427.5 | +$15.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 505 | $0.790 | $421.68 | +$22.73 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 505 | $0.800 | $416.63 | +$12.63 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 399.63 | $0.895 | $363.06 | +$5.21 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 400 | $0.885 | $330 | -$24 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | No | 500.03 | $0.615 | $290.02 | -$17.55 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.740 |
| $37 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 497.82 | $0.979 | $487.19 | 1d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 900 | $0.785 | $706.46 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | 2d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 2d ago |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 521 | $0.024 | $12.5 | 3d ago |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.037 | $19.24 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 101 | $0.890 | $89.89 | 3d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 3d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 1.02K | $0.510 | $520.2 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 249.99 | $0.810 | $202.49 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.900 | $225 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.960 | $480 | 6d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 447.76 | $0.072 | $32.24 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.072 | $37.44 | 6d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | buy | 526.74 | $0.850 | $447.73 | 6d ago |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?No | buy | 645.86 | $0.974 | $629.07 | 7d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 750 | $0.930 | $697.5 | 7d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 310.07 | $0.963 | $298.59 | 7d ago |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | sell | 500 | $0.967 | $483.3 | 7d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 95.99 | $0.964 | $92.53 | 11d ago |
 Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 30.94 | $0.960 | $29.7 | 12d ago |
 Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 137.17 | $0.950 | $130.31 | 12d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.985 | $98.5 | 12d ago |
 Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 12d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | buy | 134.9 | $0.907 | $122.33 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.964 | $385.6 | 12d ago |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.961 | $174.9 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 371.64 | $0.940 | $349.34 | 13d ago |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | sell | 25 | $0.895 | $22.38 | 13d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.982 | $78.55 | 13d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | 13d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.690 | $11.66 | 14d ago |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.980 | $147 | 14d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 160.11 | $0.985 | $157.71 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 208 | $0.963 | $200.3 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 41.4 | $0.959 | $39.7 | 14d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | 14d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 145.4 | $0.996 | $144.82 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 771 | $0.983 | $757.89 | 15d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.920 | $920 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.950 | $237.5 | 15d ago |
 Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes | sell | 31.46 | $0.999 | $31.43 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 505 | $0.790 | $398.95 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | 16d ago |