Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 23 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 17% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 17% on 7 Oct 2026. $31.61K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 6:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 23 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2026 | 10.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 1.18K |
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 200 |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026, with a second round on November 1, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than half of the valid votes in the first round, or if a candidate secures more than half of the valid votes but voter turnout is not more than half of registered voters. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-bulgaria-election
| Yes |
| 200 |
| Skaarjbg | Yes | 192.96 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| Jooble | Yes | 145.55 |
| manochartino | Yes | 101.25 |
| AleksandarRS | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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