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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.989 |
| $1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.880 | $0.91 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Jul 28, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.022 | $83.58 | Nov 20, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 12.88 | $0.949 | $12.22 | Nov 17, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.88 | $0.950 | $12.24 | Nov 17, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.77 | $0.870 | $6.76 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.639 | $1.18K | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.900 | $19.56 | Oct 14, 2024 |
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Oct 14, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 212.15 | $0.488 | $103.53 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 212.16 | $0.459 | $97.38 | Sep 10, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 113.23 | $0.860 | $97.38 | Sep 9, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 113.23 | $0.860 | $97.38 | Sep 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 206.75 | $0.471 | $97.38 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 206.75 | $0.474 | $98 | Sep 3, 2024 |