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Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.32 | $0.188 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | May 10, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.25 |
| $0.161 |
| $0.03 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.850 |
| $4.25 |
| May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | May 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.720 | $1.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.158 | $0.99 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.580 | $0.89 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.88 | $0.050 | $0.79 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.060 | $0.91 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.110 | $0.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.160 | $0.94 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | sell | 3.71 | $0.265 | $0.98 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 3.72 | $0.269 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.492 | $0.95 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.680 | $1.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.518 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.820 | $1.16 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.150 | $0.94 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.21 | $0.290 | $0.93 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.300 | $0.93 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.530 | $0.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.062 | $0.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.273 | $0.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.210 | $0.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.279 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.800 | $1.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.840 | $1.29 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.120 | $0.92 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.188 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.140 | $0.93 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |