
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9% on 19 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $717.15K traded over the market's life.
303 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 9.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| -FROMTHEFUTURE- | Yes | 34.39K |
| Aggravating-Bargain | Yes | 11.31K |
| 83.btc | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any quantity of uranium by Iran for any future amount of time. Agreements that include limitations, restrictions, or specified terms (e.g., caps on enrichment level, monitoring requirements) will qualify, provided the United States accepts continued enrichment. The United States will be considered to have agreed to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran if: - Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that they have definitively agreed to accept the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran. - Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran is included as part of a treaty or deal that is formally established between the United States and Iran, either through signing or other formal means. Agreement refers to an explicit acceptance, authorization or consent to the specified action. Only announcements of definitive agreement will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any definitive agreement or commitment made before the resolution date will be considered, regardless of when or whether the specified action is begun. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and the US government and their official representatives; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of an announcement or formal agreement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-us-agree-to
| Yes |
| 8.5K |
| Skinny-Class | Yes | 7.44K |
| troim | Yes | 5K |
| Last-Stepson | Yes | 4.99K |
| Smallfri | Yes | 4.64K |
| JoeBlack01 | Yes | 3.32K |
| 4i1V2b6d7o3l8r | Yes | 2.2K |
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