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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.43 | $0.954 | $0.42 | +$0.01 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 139 | $0.290 | $40.31 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 0.69 |
| $0.364 |
| $0.35 |
| +$0.1 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 0.2 | $0.697 | $0.17 | +$0.03 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No| sell |
| 49 |
| $0.859 |
| $42.09 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.850 | $41.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.470 | $42.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.490 | $44.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 67.72 | $0.580 | $39.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.580 | $44.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.943 | $40.55 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.290 | $34.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.290 | $34.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.960 | $45.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 48 | $0.840 | $40.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.031 | $2.79 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.012 | $0.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.015 | $1.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.015 | $1.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.955 | $41.07 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.958 | $41.19 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 65 | $0.690 | $44.85 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.690 | $33.81 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 65 | $0.690 | $44.85 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 7 | $0.965 | $6.76 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.969 | $25.19 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.024 | $1.97 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.013 | $0.61 | May 31, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.029 | $1.48 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.042 | $3.19 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.035 | $1.51 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.965 | $24.13 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.780 | $5.78 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 69 | $0.642 | $44.3 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 69 | $0.719 | $49.61 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 29.73 | $0.890 | $26.46 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.580 | $48.14 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.610 | $48.8 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.500 | $28 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.3 | $0.510 | $5.76 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.040 | $1.24 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.180 | $8.64 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.078 | $2.89 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.051 | $0.26 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | May 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 40.61 | $0.340 | $13.81 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.166 | $0.17 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.362 | $1.45 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 65 | $0.697 | $45.31 | May 17, 2026 |