Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.690 | $13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 46.94 |
| $0.490 |
| $23 |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
 AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R)Ciscomani | buy | 53.85 | $0.650 | $35 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| AZ-01 election: Shah (D) vs. Schweikert (R)Schweikert | buy | 49.3 | $0.710 | $35 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 43.02 | $0.860 | $37 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 30.23 | $0.860 | $26 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Senate control after 2024 election?Republicans | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.250 | $22 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Trump blowout victory?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WIYes | buy | 121.5 | $0.107 | $13 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34Yes | buy | 230.77 | $0.065 | $15 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 931.28 | $0.418 | $389.28 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 931.28 | $0.367 | $341.78 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 110.52 | $0.130 | $14.37 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.060 | $13.64 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 496.47 | $0.632 | $313.77 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 104.07 | $0.450 | $46.83 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 408.85 | $0.041 | $16.76 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 102.33 | $0.130 | $13.33 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 61.66 | $0.140 | $8.63 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 192.98 | $0.042 | $8.11 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.87 | $0.450 | $6.24 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.520 | $6.24 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 173.21 | $0.448 | $77.6 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 99.53 | $0.771 | $76.74 | Aug 15, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 192.98 | $0.057 | $11 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 110.53 | $0.190 | $21 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 205.33 | $0.487 | $100 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.480 | $55.81 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 102.33 | $0.210 | $21.49 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | buy | 408.86 | $0.061 | $25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 48.17 | $0.519 | $25 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 133 | $0.671 | $89.24 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.450 | $31.95 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.460 | $25.3 | Aug 3, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.700 | $120 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.600 | $70 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 232.53 | $0.599 | $139.29 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.372 | $3.72 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.300 | $325.28 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.520 | $563.83 | Jul 23, 2024 |