Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.167 | $12.53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 65 |
| $0.770 |
| $50.05 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.760 | $49.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 57 | $0.901 | $51.36 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.900 | $51.3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.290 | $16.24 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.817 | $35.13 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.812 | $34.92 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.937 | $7.5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.948 | $7.58 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.925 | $7.4 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.940 | $7.52 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.072 | $1.37 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday?No | buy | 7 | $0.962 | $6.73 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.072 | $1.37 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.971 | $5.83 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.138 | $2.76 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.132 | $2.64 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.946 | $7.57 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.948 | $7.58 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.951 | $7.61 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 8 | $0.969 | $7.75 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 8 | $0.990 | $7.92 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 8 | $0.989 | $7.91 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 8 | $0.968 | $7.74 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | sell | 25 | $0.026 | $0.65 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.967 | $7.74 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.978 | $7.82 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.957 | $14.35 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?No | sell | 16 | $0.912 | $14.59 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?No | sell | 17 | $0.914 | $15.54 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?No | buy | 17 | $0.911 | $15.49 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.958 | $1.81 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 16 | $0.943 | $15.09 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.942 | $15.07 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | sell | 1 | $0.973 | $0.97 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.957 | $8.61 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.048 | $1.54 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.018 | $0.99 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Los Angeles Rams?No | buy | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | sell | 14 | $0.801 | $11.21 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 9 | $0.962 | $8.66 | Apr 24, 2025 |