Latest trade
May 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:46 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ferg50 is down $109.7 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 1:46 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 46 trades covered 40 markets; 97.8% were buys. They run from Apr 5, 2026 UTC to May 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Yes | buy | 116.51 | $0.695 | $81 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-01 18:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 13:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
46 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 13:46 UTC
polymarket positions
9 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-01 18:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $42.61 and losing ones cost $7 across 8 settled positions. 75% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $31.29 on “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $6 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 May 2026. It has traded 40 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.005 |
| $3 |
| May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 857.14 | $0.007 | $6 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 118.49 | $0.017 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 100.67 | $0.149 | $15 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?No | buy | 116.85 | $0.726 | $84.81 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | sell | 119.37 | $0.730 | $87.2 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | buy | 119.38 | $0.699 | $83.39 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.180 | $0.93 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.29 | $0.030 | $0.92 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 20.23 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?No | buy | 211.97 | $0.009 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on April 23?Yes | buy | 856.14 | $0.001 | $0.86 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on April 23?Yes | buy | 856.14 | $0.001 | $0.86 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.008 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?No | buy | 45.2 | $0.019 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.056 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.008 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 24?No | buy | 856.14 | $0.001 | $0.86 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Teri List be the next CEO of Lululemon?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.49 | $0.160 | $0.88 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 10.31 | $0.260 | $2.68 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 2.34 | $0.390 | $0.91 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 8.5 | $0.550 | $4.68 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.91 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 4.18 | $0.440 | $1.84 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.460 | $0.92 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.98 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.4 | $0.380 | $0.91 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.