Analytics
rando12345 has made $14.97K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 40K | $0.500 | $33.58K | +$13.58K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 14:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 14:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 14:37 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 14:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.91K and losing ones cost $45.83K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.04K on “Ethereum all time high by September 30?” (No); the largest loss, $10.24K on “Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?” (Yes).
It has traded 510 markets. Its open positions are worth $66.14K across 50 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 40K |
| $0.500 |
| $6.42K |
| -$13.58K |
 Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.73K | $0.980 | $5.61K | -$5.21 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 2.8K | $0.641 | $2.55K | +$758.28 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.696 | $1.7K | +$368.42 |
 USDE depeg by December 31? | No | 1.56K | $0.854 | $1.53K | +$198.39 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.49K | $0.926 | $1.38K | -$0.23 |
| DAI depeg by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.781 | $1.06K | +$202.69 |
 Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 1.33K | $0.813 | $1.05K | -$24.41 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12K | $0.858 | $997.28 | +$35.85 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.729 | $937.6 | +$103.81 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1K | $0.850 | $925.5 | +$75.5 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 898.99 | $0.926 | $858.09 | +$25.52 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? | No | 866.25 | $0.829 | $792.62 | +$74.47 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by October 31, 2026? | No | 637.93 | $0.962 | $619.75 | +$5.91 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | No | 647.32 | $0.941 | $618.19 | +$9.06 |
| USDS depeg by December 31? | No | 505.87 | $0.814 | $488.42 | +$76.88 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 500 | $0.940 | $462.75 | -$7.25 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | No | 428.26 | $0.960 | $417.13 | +$6 |
| USDTb depeg by December 31? | No | 410.84 | $0.874 | $392.56 | +$33.63 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 433.04 | $0.747 | $389.74 | +$66.36 |
| GHO depeg by December 31? | No | 394.8 | $0.697 | $383.95 | +$108.83 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? | No | 428.62 | $0.847 | $377.19 | +$14.22 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.750 | $374.68 | -$451.86 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? | Yes | 688.24 | $0.529 | $361.32 | -$2.74 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
