Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 47 points from 53.5% when the market opened on 25 Nov 2025.
Across the 319 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 23 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 72.5% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 9 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 54.5% on 8 Jan 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “What price will Ethena hit in 2026?”.
$50 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.35K since listing. The order book holds $421.41, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 554 shares; the largest No position is rando12345 with 866. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 319 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 53.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rando12345 | No | 866.25 |
| AJSV | Yes | 554.46 |
| alanhutton | No | 297.38 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethena (ENA/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethena-hit-before-2027
2 more markets, none above 1.9%.
| Decentralised |
| Yes |
| 232.5 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 201.64 |
| ValenYu | Yes | 190.31 |
| Pagpag | Yes | 162.49 |
| punter90 | No | 114.64 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 101.74 |
| Great-Cone | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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