Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 5.74K | $0.013 | $74.59 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 17.24 |
| $0.090 |
| $1.55 |
| Dec 1, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?Yes | sell | 23.37 | $0.160 | $3.74 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.110 | $3.93 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | sell | 112.1 | $0.101 | $11.32 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 66.06 | $0.390 | $25.76 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 51.72 | $0.540 | $27.93 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Solana above $255 on November 29?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.600 | $70 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | buy | 112.11 | $0.446 | $50 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.500 | $49 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?Yes | sell | 16.65 | $0.013 | $0.22 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.012 | $0.67 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Taylor vs. SerranoSerrano | buy | 39.76 | $0.680 | $27.04 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will the fight end in Round 5?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will the fight end in Round 4?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will the fight end in Round 3?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?Yes | buy | 101.95 | $0.049 | $5 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.760 | $12.66 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 56.22 | $0.623 | $35 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Coinbase #1 finance app on Friday?Yes | buy | 77.04 | $0.277 | $21.37 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 SpaceX Starship launch by Nov 18?Yes | buy | 37.12 | $0.755 | $28.04 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?Yes | buy | 88.57 | $0.350 | $31 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?Yes | buy | 23.38 | $0.530 | $12.39 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 300-324 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 29.58 | $0.237 | $7 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 25.93 | $0.270 | $7 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 120.58 | $0.073 | $8.8 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024?Yes | sell | 205.49 | $0.040 | $8.22 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.090 | $7.5 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.070 | $1.3 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?Yes | buy | 63.81 | $0.470 | $30 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?Yes | buy | 37.3 | $0.370 | $13.8 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.294 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 30.93 | $0.485 | $15 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 66.06 | $0.454 | $30 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 118.19 | $0.613 | $72.45 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?Yes | buy | 90.5 | $0.300 | $27.15 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.180 | $16.92 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.220 | $16.92 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 275-299 times October 4-11?Yes | buy | 98.6 | $0.250 | $24.65 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times October 4-11?Yes | buy | 41.2 | $0.243 | $10 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 25-29 times October 4-11?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Oct 7, 2024 |