Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:30 AM UTC.
Analytics
tropicalsnow is down $125.63 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-28 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 8:30 AM UTC.
$4.95 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 27, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.430 | $16.4 | +$7.8 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?No | buy | 26.84 | $0.670 | $17.98 | 3d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-28 16:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 08:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 08:30 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-28 16:16 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $230.46 and losing ones cost $6.42 across 46 settled positions. 97.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.78 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET” (Up); the largest loss, $6.42 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 128 markets. Its open positions are worth $127.85 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.420 |
| $14.8 |
| +$6.4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 20 | $0.750 | $14.5 | -$0.5 |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? | No | 26.84 | $0.670 | $13.42 | -$4.56 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October? | Yes | 20 | $0.640 | $7.8 | -$5 |
 Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? | No | 45.07 | $0.170 | $7.66 | $0 |
 OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.450 | $7.2 | -$1.8 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 20 | $0.420 | $7 | -$1.4 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.26 | $0.730 | $6.85 | +$0.09 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.560 | $6.65 | +$1.05 |
 Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.406 | $5.71 | -$2.41 |
 Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 19.99 | $0.410 | $5.7 | -$2.5 |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.570 | $5.2 | -$6.2 |
 Will Jayden Daniels have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | $0 |
 Will Asuna play for 100 Thieves in 2027? | No | 10.3 | $0.290 | $3.04 | +$0.05 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | No | 20 | $0.450 | $2.2 | -$6.8 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.750 |
| $15 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
| Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?No | buy | 45.07 | $0.170 | $7.66 | 3d ago |
| Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 17.19 | $0.410 | $7.05 | 3d ago |
| Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.410 | $0.87 | 3d ago |
| Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 0.68 | $0.410 | $0.28 | 3d ago |
| OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 3d ago |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Jayden Daniels have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | 4d ago |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Asuna play for 100 Thieves in 2027?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.290 | $2.99 | 4d ago |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.730 | $6.76 | 4d ago |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.406 | $8.12 | 4d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 10d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.440 | $0.17 | 10d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.640 | $9.6 | 10d ago |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 10d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 10d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.440 | $8.63 | 10d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 10d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.440 | $8.63 | 10d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.440 | $0.17 | 10d ago |
| Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 10d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 0.39 | $0.440 | $0.17 | 10d ago |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.440 | $8.63 | 10d ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | 10d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 8.56 | $0.570 | $4.88 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 14.56 | $0.340 | $4.95 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.74 | $0.403 | $4.73 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 11.51 | $0.430 | $4.95 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 24.75 | $0.200 | $4.95 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp | buy | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.72 | 26d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 16 | $0.310 | $4.96 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp | buy | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 9 | $0.550 | $4.95 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.36 | $0.310 | $0.42 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 12.3 | $0.400 | $4.92 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 11.16 | $0.436 | $4.86 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 8.44 | $0.590 | $4.98 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 12.3 | $0.400 | $4.92 | 27d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 7.22 | $0.650 | $4.69 | 27d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.