Analytics
Yes is at 89%, up 20 points from 69% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 87% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 69% on 16 Oct 2026. The current quote, 89%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 85% on 21 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 87% on 17 Oct 2026.
3.7% is the favourite of the 12 outcomes in “October Inflation US - Annual”, ahead of 3.8% at 6.8%.
$1.53K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.77K since listing. The order book holds $8.99K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 156 trades, $3.85K bought Yes and $707.21 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 7418399 with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is cookedquail with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 85.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 69.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 85.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 7418399 | Yes | 1.43K |
| cookedquail | No | 1.43K |
| 17735977 | Yes | 987.24 |
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-annual
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 835.01 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 700 |
| AJSV | No | 242.56 |
| lissartter | No | 169.1 |
| ply-top3-clost-twet | No | 124.13 |
| geylord20 | No | 114.81 |
| Majas | No | 105.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
