Analytics
Yes is at 1.9%, down 16 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 17.5% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 1.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
3.9% ranks fourth of the 12 outcomes in “October Inflation US - Annual”. 3.7% leads at 89%; 3.8% is at 6.9%.
$2.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.07K, with a 1.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 87 trades, $93.85 bought Yes and $1.27K bought No.
The largest Yes position is tgsve with 682 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 835. Ten wallets hold 95.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 1.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 835.01 |
| Stonktrader | No | 760 |
| tgsve | Yes | 682.1 |
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-annual
| podairpod |
| Yes |
| 322.99 |
| AJSV | Yes | 273.87 |
| Wee-Acid | Yes | 105.5 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 89 |
| zeitfi-vault-v2 | Yes | 40 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 33 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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