Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.170 | $0.25 | 5d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 1.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.930 | $1.03 | 5d ago |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.929 | $1.09 | 5d ago |
 Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | 5d ago |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.999 | $1.51 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.977 | $2.47 | 5d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 19d ago |
 Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.950 | $5.34 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.941 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.941 | $1.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.908 | $4.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Vinícius Júnior record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.950 | $5.33 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.823 | $1.54 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.965 | $2.45 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.956 | $2.33 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.983 | $1.02 | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 13.12 | $0.830 | $10.89 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 22?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.984 | $1.13 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?Yes | buy | 1.98 | $0.979 | $1.94 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.910 | $1.07 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.989 | $2.13 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 8.5 | $0.550 | $4.68 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown | buy | 6.11 | $0.780 | $4.76 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.989 | $1.64 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on March 27?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.967 | $1.22 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 5.39 | $0.850 | $4.58 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.990 | $1.11 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.992 | $1.64 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.4 | $0.980 | $2.35 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.09 | $0.790 | $3.23 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on March 17?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on March 17?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.984 | $1.65 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.917 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 16 above $2.50?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 13?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $270?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.984 | $3.21 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.890 | $1.03 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.950 | $1.22 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.997 | $1.33 | Mar 7, 2026 |