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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 262.62K | $0.395 | $244.11K | +$140.26K |
Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 126.45 | $0.063 | $7.93 | Jul 21, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 28.6K |
| $0.517 |
| $20.16K |
| +$5.36K |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 3.38K | $0.387 | $3.16K | +$1.85K |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 340.98K | $0.009 | $2.22K | -$851.91 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 2.35K | $0.499 | $2.16K | +$990.91 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 105.06K | $0.014 | $1.68K | +$198.47 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.404 | $617.26 | -$507.1 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 99.47 | $0.079 | $41.53 | +$33.67 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.828 | $1.97 | +$0.31 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.057 |
| $0.29 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.057 | $1.77 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.057 | $0.29 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.845 | $4.23 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 85.93 | $0.065 | $5.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.7 | $0.096 | $4.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.096 | $365.05 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 150.96 | $0.092 | $13.89 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 536.89 | $0.300 | $160.94 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.175 | $197.63 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.29K | $0.814 | $4.31K | Jun 24, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.37K | $0.830 | $3.63K | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 65.15 | $0.196 | $12.77 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.53K | $0.196 | $1.28K | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 16.88K | $0.969 | $16.36K | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 241.08 | $0.326 | $78.61 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10K | $0.973 | $9.73K | Jun 18, 2026 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes | sell | 103.35 | $0.341 | $35.26 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes | buy | 208.93 | $0.579 | $121.03 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.74 | $0.657 | $5.09 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 186.9 | $0.611 | $114.14 | May 21, 2026 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 124.18 | $0.170 | $21.11 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 344.59 | $0.021 | $7.24 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.65K | $0.020 | $134.46 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 61.81K | $0.022 | $1.37K | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 58.18K | $0.026 | $1.52K | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 71.03K | $0.030 | $2.11K | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.54K | $0.032 | $177.24 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.73K | $0.034 | $160.89 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 90.8 | $0.526 | $47.72 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 115.79 | $0.517 | $59.87 | May 3, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.520 | $17.68 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 655.47 | $0.009 | $5.9 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 130.45K | $0.009 | $1.17K | May 2, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.493 | $914.93 | May 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.74K | $0.041 | $440.41 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 58.46 | $0.039 | $2.28 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.040 | $96.94 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.93K | $0.038 | $187.21 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.99 | $0.038 | $0.99 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.61K | $0.037 | $4.76K | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 39.85K | $0.042 | $1.69K | May 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.87K | $0.032 | $93.21 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.65K | $0.009 | $149.85 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 108.49 | $0.519 | $56.33 | Apr 30, 2026 |