Analytics
fed26 has made $1.96K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 28 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 262.62K | $0.395 | $253.82K | +$150.06K |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 32 | 1 | 0.0% | $63.31 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 23:37 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $26.42K and losing ones cost $29.11K across 28 settled positions. 60.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.4K on “No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.95K on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $263.22K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.38K |
| $0.387 |
| $3.28K |
| +$1.97K |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 2.35K | $0.499 | $2.31K | +$1.13K |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 105.06K | $0.014 | $1.89K | +$408.59 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 340.98K | $0.009 | $1.88K | -$1.19K |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.404 | $27.8 | -$1.1K |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 99.47 | $0.079 | $19.6 | +$11.74 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.828 | $1.99 | +$0.34 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
