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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.91 | $0.922 | $0.87 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.800 | $25.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.59 |
| $0.961 |
| $0.58 |
| +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 18 |
| $0.960 |
| $17.28 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.960 | $25.92 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.760 | $25.84 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.959 | $25.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.956 | $25.81 | May 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.991 | $28.74 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.988 | $28.65 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.932 | $27.96 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | May 28, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.959 | $27.81 | May 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.520 | $30.16 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.338 | $29.74 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.670 | $32.83 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.710 | $31.24 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 7.41 | $0.961 | $7.12 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 36 | $0.961 | $34.6 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.953 | $31.45 | May 23, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 3 | $0.984 | $2.95 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 47 | $0.670 | $31.49 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.670 | $31.49 | May 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.036 | $1.58 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.300 | $24.6 | May 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.979 | $31.33 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 32 | $0.986 | $31.55 | May 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.480 | $29.76 | May 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.500 | $31 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.960 | $32.64 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.979 | $36.22 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.979 | $36.22 | May 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.961 | $35.56 | May 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.962 | $35.59 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.990 | $35.64 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 22 | $0.844 | $18.57 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 34 | $0.968 | $32.91 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 34 | $0.971 | $33.01 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 6 | $0.943 | $5.66 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 6 | $0.943 | $5.66 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 5 | $0.884 | $4.42 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 29 | $0.884 | $25.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 37 | $0.884 | $32.71 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.024 | $0.17 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.025 | $0.75 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 41 | $0.885 | $36.29 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.115 | $4.26 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20.01 | $0.051 | $1.02 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 19 | $0.972 | $18.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 19 | $0.970 | $18.43 | Apr 21, 2026 |