Latest trade
May 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 18, 1:50 AM UTC.
Analytics
OttovonBismarck is down $1.99K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 18, 1:50 AM UTC.
$90 median trade
Its latest 307 trades covered 91 markets; 79.5% were buys. They run from Nov 8, 2024 UTC to May 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 116.87 | $0.975 | $114 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 21:08 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-18 01:50 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
307 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-18 01:50 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-23 19:53 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $2.75K and losing ones cost $835.76 across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $418.48 on “Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $359.28 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?” (No).
It first traded on 8 Nov 2024 and most recently on 4 May 2026, 166 days ago. It has traded 91 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 117.65 |
| $0.850 |
| $100 |
| May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 103.63 | $0.998 | $103.42 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 103.64 | $0.850 | $88.09 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 122.29 | $0.720 | $88.05 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 102.08 | $0.730 | $74.52 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 91.4 | $0.930 | $85 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 380.66 | $0.977 | $372 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 95.1 | $0.920 | $87.49 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 89.07 | $0.903 | $80.43 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | buy | 152.05 | $0.658 | $100 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | buy | 233 | $0.644 | $150 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | buy | 357.65 | $0.839 | $300 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | buy | 360.57 | $0.832 | $300 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 983.37 | $0.997 | $980.42 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 167.6 | $0.940 | $157.54 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 210.91 | $0.984 | $207.54 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 441.56 | $0.940 | $415.07 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 421.82 | $0.984 | $415.07 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 470.21 | $0.940 | $442 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.984 | $492 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 216.9 | $0.860 | $186.53 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 447.88 | $0.984 | $440.71 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 234.04 | $0.940 | $220 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.984 | $196.8 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 324.2 | $0.984 | $319.01 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 80.53 | $0.920 | $74.09 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 126.88 | $0.978 | $124.09 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 179.84 | $0.920 | $165.45 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 169.17 | $0.978 | $165.45 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 59.01 | $0.670 | $39.54 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.973 | $1K | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 338.06 | $0.080 | $27.04 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 819.95 | $0.997 | $817.49 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 92.2 | $0.910 | $83.9 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 36.76 | $0.680 | $25 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.