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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.980 | $1.67 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.12 |
| $0.942 |
| $2 |
| Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on December 17?Up | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.984 | $2.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.988 | $1.72 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.992 | $1.89 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.997 | $1.78 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.950 | $1.57 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.963 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.989 | $1.54 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.994 | $1.54 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.997 | $2.2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.997 | $1.34 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.984 | $2.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.73 | $0.939 | $3.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.980 | $2.1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.993 | $2.17 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.992 | $2.17 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.969 | $2.4 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.940 | $1.05 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.991 | $3.62 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.997 | $4.14 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.977 | $4.46 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.962 | $3.2 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.974 | $1.1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.984 | $3.6 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.986 | $4.5 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.962 | $4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.87 | $0.982 | $3.8 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.978 | $1.76K | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.975 | $1.23K | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.994 | $3.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.992 | $3.4 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.982 | $5.4 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.38 | $0.978 | $5.26 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.987 | $5.53 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.966 | $5.2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 563.81 | $0.021 | $11.84 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.641 | $1.42K | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.988 | $12 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 22.01 | $0.900 | $19.81 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 22.01 | $0.910 | $20.03 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 199.62 | $0.459 | $91.63 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 199.61 | $0.467 | $93.22 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 187.58 | $0.497 | $93.23 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 187.58 | $0.529 | $99.23 | Sep 6, 2024 |