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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.64 | $0.273 | $0.09 | -$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.943 | $78.27 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 0.53 |
| $0.042 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.75 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 89 | $0.968 | $86.15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 89 | $0.969 | $86.24 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 55 | $0.967 | $53.18 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 95 | $0.912 | $86.64 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 95 | $0.913 | $86.74 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | sell | 90 | $0.900 | $81 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 90 | $0.910 | $81.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.930 | $26.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 96 | $0.930 | $89.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.969 | $89.15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 104 | $0.750 | $78 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 91 | $0.988 | $89.91 | Jun 20, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 106 | $0.780 | $82.68 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 96 | $0.936 | $89.86 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 72 | $0.893 | $64.3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.059 | $2.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.380 | $49.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.380 | $45.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 107 | $0.410 | $43.87 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 47 | $0.160 | $7.52 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.74 | $0.220 | $22.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.520 | $6.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 163 | $0.520 | $84.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.450 | $39.15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.070 | $6.79 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.080 | $7.76 | Jun 11, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.670 | $87.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 178 | $0.032 | $5.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 91 | $0.963 | $87.63 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.960 | $87.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.964 | $87.72 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.988 | $21.74 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 134 | $0.500 | $67 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 126 | $0.500 | $63 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 90 | $0.969 | $87.21 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 90 | $0.966 | $86.94 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 87 | $0.440 | $38.28 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.042 | $7.27 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.041 | $0.57 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.042 | $6.93 | May 29, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.041 | $6.15 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 67 | $0.992 | $66.46 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.989 | $66.26 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.042 | $2.86 | May 27, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.034 | $1.63 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 106 | $0.844 | $89.42 | May 26, 2026 |