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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | Yes | 349.99 | $0.005 | $15.4 | +$13.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 107.77 | $0.005 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.34K |
| $0.001 |
| $9.41 |
| +$8.07 |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 404.27 | $0.001 | $7.07 | +$6.67 |
 Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $4.15 | +$3.15 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 5 | $0.748 | $3.55 | -$0.19 |
 Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.010 | $2.1 | +$0.6 |
 Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | Yes | 98 | $0.010 | $1.72 | +$0.74 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.039 | $1.5 | -$0.45 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.290 | $1.35 | -$0.39 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 15 | $0.050 | $1.22 | +$0.47 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 6 | $0.190 | $1.2 | +$0.06 |
 Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 6.93 | $0.050 | $0.73 | +$0.38 |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? | Yes | 18 | $0.100 | $0.7 | -$1.1 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 12 | $0.090 | $0.66 | -$0.42 |
 Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.001 | $0.6 | -$0.6 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? | Yes | 17.99 | $0.050 | $0.56 | -$0.34 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6? | Yes | 9 | $0.200 | $0.47 | -$1.33 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.39 | -$0.81 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Yes | 12.79 | $0.010 | $0.26 | +$0.13 |
 Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-08-03? | Yes | 6 | $0.010 | $0.09 | +$0.03 |
 Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 112 |
| $0.009 |
| $1.01 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.075 | $0.75 | 2d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.001 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | 3d ago |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | 5d ago |
 Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 374.21 | $0.001 | $0.37 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 25?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | 14d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 25?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | 15d ago |
| Will Lady Gaga be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes | buy | 83.38 | $0.001 | $0.08 | 20d ago |
| Will Lady Gaga be the top artist in the US for 2026?Yes | buy | 344.35 | $0.001 | $0.34 | 20d ago |
 Will Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his announcement?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | 20d ago |
 Will Trump or Melania say "Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 20d ago |
 Will Target say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 21d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.009 | $1.08 | 21d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | 21d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.104 | $1.04 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | 23d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 16?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 17?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.006 | $0.24 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.999 | $6.99 | 24d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.105 | $105 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 13?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.020 | $1.83 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.770 | $6.93 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 7?Yes | buy | 31.83 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 6?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 5?Yes | buy | 243.27 | $0.001 | $0.24 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-08-03?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.510 | $13.42 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.033 | $3.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 271.66 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.998 | $5.99 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.299 | $5.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 29?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-07-29?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |