Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:16 PM UTC.
Analytics
thcarrasc82 has made $90.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:16 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Oct 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? | Yes | 18.61 | $0.537 | $9.58 | -$0.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.671 | $20.97 | 41m ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 22:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 23:16 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 22:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $538.28 and losing ones cost $429.13 across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $40.27 on “Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $35.75 on “Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 1,016 markets. Its open positions are worth $74.32 across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 7.21 |
| $0.693 |
| $7.18 |
| +$2.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.690 | $7.14 | +$2.14 |
 Will Cerro Porteno win on 2026-10-25? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.680 | $7.01 | +$2.01 |
 Will CD Palestino win on 2026-10-25? | No | 6.33 | $0.790 | $6.33 | +$1.33 |
 Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-25? | Yes | 7.58 | $0.660 | $6.33 | +$1.33 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5.73 | +$0.73 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 25? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.58 | +$0.58 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 6.85 | $0.730 | $4.73 | -$0.27 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.42 | $0.438 | $4.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20.92 | $0.239 | $2.18 | -$2.82 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 46.73 | $0.107 | $1.87 | -$3.13 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.81 | $0.640 | $0.51 | -$4.49 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 7.46 | $0.670 | $0.22 | -$4.78 |
| buy |
| 7.25 |
| $0.690 |
| $5 |
| 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 25?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 25?Yes | buy | 7.21 | $0.693 | $5 | 2h ago |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 2h ago |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-25?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 2h ago |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-25?Yes | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | 2h ago |
| Will CD Palestino win on 2026-10-25?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 2h ago |
| Will Cerro Porteno win on 2026-10-25?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | 3h ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | 3h ago |
 Will Brooklyn FC win on 2026-10-24?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will América de Cali win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-24?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will Club León FC win on 2026-10-24?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-10-24?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 24?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 24?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.940 | $13.05 | 1d ago |
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-22?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Will Baku Sporting win on 2026-10-22?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Club Puebla win on 2026-10-21?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-25?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-21?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-21?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-21?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Will Deportivo Maldonado win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Alianza FC win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Will Orense SC win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-19?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Will Derry City FC win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Will FK Kharkiv win on 2026-10-19?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | 7d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.