Analytics
thcarrasc82 has made $93.35 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? | Yes | 18.61 | $0.537 | $9.58 | -$0.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 22:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 07:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 07:08 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 22:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $538.28 and losing ones cost $429.13 across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $40.27 on “Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?” (Yes); the largest loss, $35.75 on “Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?” (Yes).
It has traded 1,016 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.33 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 7.25 |
| $0.690 |
| $7.24 |
| +$2.24 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 25? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5.62 | +$0.62 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5.3 | +$0.3 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 11.42 | $0.438 | $4.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 6.85 | $0.730 | $4.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 46.73 | $0.107 | $1.89 | -$3.11 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.81 | $0.640 | $0.35 | -$4.65 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 7.46 | $0.670 | $0.02 | -$4.98 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
