Analytics
Yes is at 56.5%, up 8.5 points from 48% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
The high was 66.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the low 48% on 9 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 66%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 66% on 10 Oct 2026.
SE Palmeiras is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC”, ahead of Draw (SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC) at 28.5%.
$3.16K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.25K since listing. The order book holds $32.63K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 89 trades, $1.44K bought Yes and $650.79 bought No.
The largest Yes position is wuhua3131 with 700 shares; the largest No position is Flaznorp with 506. Ten wallets hold 60% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 5:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 48.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 56.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wuhua3131 | Yes | 700 |
| Flaznorp | No | 506.23 |
| omnibus-076daa | No | 492.94 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If SE Palmeiras wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lib-pal-flu-2026-10-21
| VeryLucky888 |
| No |
| 462.48 |
| burroepobre | Yes | 350.88 |
| SuperPro333 | No | 204.53 |
| pjotrekkk | Yes | 196 |
| ximba | No | 188.68 |
| danilosilveira | Yes | 181.82 |
| UpTheBlues | Yes | 151.51 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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