Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:18 PM UTC.
ratehikes has made $196.78K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 38 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:18 PM UTC.
$46.57 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 39.28K | $0.607 | $37.97K | +$14.11K |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 AND Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | buy | 120.02 | $0.886 | $106.33 | just now |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 12:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:18 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 23:18 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 12:14 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $619.37K and losing ones cost $327.65K across 38 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $468.82K on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $119.85K on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 262 markets. Its open positions are worth $47.05K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.47K |
| $0.236 |
| $2.58K |
| +$1.76K |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.04K | $0.970 | $1.98K | +$6.71 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.75K | $0.108 | $1.9K | +$1.6K |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.24K | $0.560 | $1.22K | +$522.16 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 4.77K | $0.181 | $938.09 | +$74.83 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 5.49K | $0.160 | $464.22 | -$413.42 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 2.38 | $0.666 | $2.31 | +$0.72 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.798 |
| $7.98 |
| 8m ago |
| Spread: Chiefs (-13.5) AND Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) | buy | 1.03 | $0.898 | $0.92 | 16m ago |
| Pelicans vs. Nuggets AND Spurs vs. Mavericks | buy | 69.42 | $0.290 | $20.13 | 27m ago |
| Heat vs. Hornets AND Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 103.42 | $0.529 | $54.71 | 1h ago |
| George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown AND Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown AND Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 99.66 | $0.904 | $90.09 | 1h ago |
| Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown AND Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown AND Drake London: Anytime Touchdown AND Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 82.21 | $0.971 | $79.82 | 1h ago |
| Jackson Chourio: Hits O/U 0.5 AND Chandler Simpson: Hits O/U 0.5 AND William Contreras: Hits O/U 0.5 | buy | 13.68 | $0.646 | $8.84 | 1h ago |
| Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown AND Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown AND CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown AND Tetairoa McMillan: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 85.35 | $0.964 | $82.28 | 1h ago |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 AND Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 40.78 | $0.399 | $16.27 | 1h ago |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 AND Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | buy | 58.25 | $0.583 | $33.96 | 2h ago |
| Heat vs. Hornets AND Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5 | buy | 13.95 | $0.683 | $9.53 | 2h ago |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) AND Nets vs. Cavaliers AND Pelicans vs. Nuggets | buy | 192.02 | $0.559 | $107.34 | 2h ago |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5 AND Heat vs. Hornets | buy | 61.2 | $0.632 | $38.68 | 2h ago |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 14.5 AND Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.5 AND Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 357.58 | $0.384 | $137.31 | 2h ago |
| Zion Williamson: Points O/U 19.5 AND Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | buy | 66.22 | $0.782 | $51.78 | 3h ago |
| Bucks vs. 76ers AND Nets vs. Cavaliers AND Pelicans vs. Nuggets AND Warriors vs. Suns AND Spurs vs. Mavericks | buy | 26.27 | $0.631 | $16.58 | 4h ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 | buy | 144.45 | $0.665 | $96.06 | 4h ago |
| Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 | buy | 24.15 | $0.598 | $14.44 | 5h ago |
| Bijan Robinson: Receptions O/U 3.5 AND Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown AND Alvin Kamara: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 AND Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 153.88 | $0.888 | $136.65 | 6h ago |
| George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown AND Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown AND Brock Bowers: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 115.8 | $0.923 | $106.88 | 6h ago |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown AND Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 93.72 | $0.479 | $44.89 | 7h ago |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) AND Spread: Suns (-3.5) AND Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 212.5 | buy | 66.94 | $0.686 | $45.92 | 9h ago |
| Pat Freiermuth: Anytime Touchdown AND Isaiah Likely: Anytime Touchdown AND Mike Gesicki: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 79.46 | $0.976 | $77.55 | 11h ago |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 AND Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 53.08 | $0.819 | $43.47 | 11h ago |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 AND Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | buy | 50.32 | $0.809 | $40.71 | 12h ago |
| Rockets vs. Hawks: O/U 210.5 AND Rockets vs. Hawks | buy | 1.1 | $0.550 | $0.61 | 12h ago |
| George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown AND Trey McBride: Anytime Touchdown AND Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown AND Brock Bowers: Anytime Touchdown | buy | 56.11 | $0.966 | $54.21 | 13h ago |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 | buy | 73.95 | $0.805 | $59.53 | 14h ago |
| William Contreras: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 AND Junior Caminero: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5 | buy | 8.35 | $0.426 | $3.56 | 16h ago |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) AND BYU vs. UCF AND Spread: 49ers (-10.5) | buy | 56.81 | $0.831 | $47.21 | 17h ago |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors AND Trail Blazers vs. Kings AND Clippers vs. Lakers | buy | 182.36 | $0.754 | $137.5 | 21h ago |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) AND Trail Blazers vs. Kings AND Clippers vs. Lakers | buy | 14.09 | $0.522 | $7.35 | 21h ago |
| Rockets vs. Spurs AND Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 | buy | 126 | $0.615 | $77.49 | 22h ago |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 AND Jake Bauers: Hits O/U 0.5 AND Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | buy | 170.43 | $0.870 | $148.27 | 23h ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 | buy | 97.68 | $0.653 | $63.78 | 23h ago |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 14.5 AND Spread: Jazz (-2.5) | buy | 37.05 | $0.590 | $21.86 | 1d ago |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 AND Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | buy | 93.61 | $0.676 | $63.28 | 1d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5 AND Yandy Díaz: Hits O/U 0.5 | buy | 77.35 | $0.492 | $38.06 | 1d ago |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 5.5 AND Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | buy | 33.41 | $0.711 | $23.76 | 1d ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Tampa Bay Rays Team Total: O/U 2.5 | buy | 3.31 | $0.676 | $2.24 | 1d ago |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 AND RJ Barrett: Points O/U 14.5 AND Damian Lillard: Points O/U 14.5 AND LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | buy | 10.68 | $0.637 | $6.8 | 1d ago |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 AND Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 38.07 | $0.549 | $20.9 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.970 | $1.97K | 1d ago |
| Rockets vs. Spurs AND Grizzlies vs. Warriors AND Mavericks vs. Pacers AND Raptors vs. Wizards AND Trail Blazers vs. Kings AND Clippers vs. Lakers | buy | 42.53 | $0.870 | $37 | 1d ago |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 AND Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | buy | 147.78 | $0.676 | $99.9 | 1d ago |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 AND Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 250.39 | $0.810 | $202.81 | 1d ago |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 AND Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 19.5 | buy | 2.05 | $0.540 | $1.11 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.