Latest trade
Oct 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 6:36 AM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Falcon 9FDB is down $32.2 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 6:36 AM UTC.
$0.18 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 80 markets; 38.0% were buys. They run from Jan 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 19.72 | $0.380 | $5.03 | -$2.46 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.730 | $3.69 | 9d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 03:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 06:36 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 06:36 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 18:24 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $36.88 and losing ones cost $22.78 across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.74 on “Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?” (No); the largest loss, $3.69 on “Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?” (No).
It first traded on 16 Jan 2026 and most recently on 6 Oct 2026. It has traded 105 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.66 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.790 |
| $4.89 |
| +$0.94 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | No | 5.05 | $0.930 | $4.84 | +$0.14 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.590 | $3.96 | +$0.98 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.291 | $3.96 | +$2.51 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.320 | $3.76 | +$2.15 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.730 | $3.66 | -$0.03 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.230 | $3.23 | +$2.07 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.410 | $3.16 | +$1.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 5.05 | $0.610 | $2.95 | -$0.13 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 69.48 | $0.034 | $2.85 | +$0.49 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 5.05 | $0.530 | $1.99 | -$0.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.63 | $0.620 | $0.37 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 5.05 |
| $0.530 |
| $2.68 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.540 | $2.73 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.480 | $2.42 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.93 | $0.530 | $0.49 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.510 | $2.1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.560 | $2.83 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.54 | $0.570 | $0.88 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.560 | $0.11 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.560 | $0.64 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.570 | $0.63 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.570 | $0.14 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.570 | $0.1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.620 | $3.13 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 0.43 | $0.610 | $0.26 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.026 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.026 | $0.02 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.026 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.026 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.026 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.026 | $0 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.