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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.46 | $0.630 | $11 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.600 |
| $21 |
| Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's Marines deployment by Friday?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?Yes | sell | 156.3 | $0.005 | $0.78 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.006 | $0.23 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?Yes | buy | 44.64 | $0.134 | $6 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?Yes | buy | 111.67 | $0.134 | $15 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?No | buy | 65.63 | $0.320 | $21 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 89.74 | $0.390 | $35 | Feb 1, 2025 |