Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 46% on 11 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2025 to 14 Jun 2025, the highest close was 46% on 11 Jun 2025 and the lowest 2.3% on 14 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 28% on 12 Jun 2025. $13.96K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Jun 2025 – 14 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2025 | 46.0% |
| 14 Jun 2025 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| collectorr | Yes | 167.74 |
| LazarilloDTormes | Yes | 38.18 |
| Annual-Sustenance | Yes | 29.41 |
| damasosos92 | No | 1.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of active duty US Marines to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of Marines' deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings. The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-courts-block-trumps-marines-deployment-by-friday
| Playasure | No | 0.1 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.04 |
| figz | No | 0.03 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.02 |
| twark | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
