Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.26 | $0.885 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.968 |
| $1 |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 French election called by October 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.050 | $0.64 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.021 | $0.05 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Is Earth flat?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.986 | $1.01 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare martial law in LA by Friday?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 State of Emergency in LA by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's Marines deployment by Friday?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.420 | $1.25 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.210 | $0.7 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 6.53 | $0.017 | $0.11 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.150 | $0.24 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.596 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.952 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Britney Spears tour in 2025?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.800 | $1.86 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.620 | $1.74 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.051 | $0.18 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.160 | $0.33 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.037 | $0.31 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.999 | $1.49 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 3.93 | $0.999 | $3.93 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.460 | $0.79 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.010 | $0.17 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.060 | $0.86 | May 17, 2025 |