Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.410 | $9.01 | Sep 23, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 2.44 |
| $0.410 |
| $1 |
| Sep 23, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.580 | $6.44 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 46.18 | $0.034 | $1.57 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | sell | 13.42 | $0.713 | $9.57 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.92 | $0.048 | $1.34 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" this week?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before 2026?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.260 | $1.49 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?Bitcoin | buy | 2.84 | $0.700 | $1.99 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |