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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.019 | $1.33 | 11d ago |
|
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.020 |
| $1.4 |
| 11d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 460 | $0.040 | $18.4 | 16d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 430 | $0.040 | $17.2 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 479.99 | $0.110 | $52.8 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.100 | $45 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?Yes | sell | 920 | $0.080 | $73.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 900 | $0.065 | $58.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | sell | 920 | $0.090 | $82.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 910 | $0.070 | $63.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 325.75 | $0.036 | $11.73 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 929.99 | $0.090 | $83.7 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.090 | $41.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.042 | $0.21 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 449.99 | $0.047 | $21.15 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 419.99 | $0.047 | $19.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 440 | $0.030 | $13.2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | sell | 410 | $0.030 | $12.3 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?Yes | sell | 270 | $0.100 | $27 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes | sell | 398.99 | $0.030 | $11.97 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?Yes | sell | 408.99 | $0.030 | $12.27 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.056 | $0.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Yes | sell | 294.97 | $0.056 | $16.52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?Yes | sell | 315 | $0.056 | $17.64 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)RB Leipzig | buy | 439.99 | $0.973 | $428.11 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | buy | 435 | $0.983 | $427.61 | May 9, 2026 |
 Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)FC UTA Arad | buy | 450 | $0.930 | $418.5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.023 | $0.46 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.023 | $10.35 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 440 | $0.023 | $10.12 | May 7, 2026 |
| Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)Zamalek SC | buy | 476.85 | $0.960 | $457.78 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 479 | $0.959 | $459.36 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)CA Tigre | buy | 358.55 | $0.979 | $351.02 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 381 | $0.924 | $352.04 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?No | sell | 356 | $0.920 | $327.52 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?No | buy | 356 | $0.920 | $327.52 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | sell | 307 | $0.018 | $5.53 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.018 | $5.58 | Apr 8, 2026 |