Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 44% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 4.4% on 17 Jun 2026. $43.69K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 3:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.22K |
| 00dd | Yes | 4K |
| Violet Meteor 1B7C | Yes | 317 |
| wozaitaibei | Yes | 235 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during June 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-north-korea-missile-tests-in-june-2026
| yiuyoo | Yes | 170 |
| balthazar | Yes | 98.91 |
| jeyaganeshk | Yes | 55.16 |
| Grokius | Yes | 31.27 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 15 |
| CamisaDoAvesso | Yes | 11.24 |
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