Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 285.92 | $0.411 | $132.95 | +$15.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 34.62 | $0.289 | $10 | 7d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 416.67 |
| $0.120 |
| $58.33 |
| +$8.33 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 94.34 | $0.530 | $32.55 | -$17.45 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 89.66 | $0.326 | $31.96 | +$2.73 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 52.26 | $0.287 | $23.86 | +$8.86 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | Yes | 232.51 | $0.059 | $19.65 | +$5.87 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 231.15 | $0.072 | $14.91 | -$1.69 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 174.69 | $0.363 | $11.35 | -$52.03 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.150 | $10.83 | -$14.17 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 288.36 | $0.104 | $7.35 | -$22.65 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 848.13 | $0.095 | $2.97 | -$77.23 |
| buy |
| 58.14 |
| $0.430 |
| $25 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.006 | $2.5 | 8d ago |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 276.13 | $0.002 | $0.55 | 11d ago |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.064 | $4.8 | 11d ago |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 732.06 | $0.003 | $2.2 | 11d ago |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.051 | $4.29 | 11d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 272.92 | $0.022 | $6 | 11d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.038 | $9.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.370 | $3.8 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.247 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 9.72 | $0.360 | $3.5 | 12d ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 83.47 | $0.121 | $10.1 | 15d ago |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 125.25 | $0.023 | $2.86 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Yes | buy | 232.51 | $0.059 | $13.78 | 20d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 52.26 | $0.287 | $15 | 24d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 89.66 | $0.326 | $29.23 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 231.15 | $0.072 | $16.6 | 24d ago |
 Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?Yes | buy | 95.27 | $0.052 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in July?Yes | buy | 73.02 | $0.068 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Holding" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 26.92 | $0.130 | $3.5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 692.91 | $0.130 | $90.08 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 77.78 | $0.450 | $35 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.098 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.024 | $15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.310 | $3.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?Yes | buy | 35.36 | $0.140 | $4.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.68 | $0.197 | $22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.080 | $2.86 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.070 | $2.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | sell | 91.91 | $0.090 | $8.27 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | sell | 88.3 | $0.190 | $16.78 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.002 | $0.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |