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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.998 | $1.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.34 |
| $0.996 |
| $1.33 |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.780 | $1.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.996 | $1.56 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.230 | $1.3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.780 | $1.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.979 | $1.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.976 | $1.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9PM ETDown | buy | 209 | $0.500 | $104.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.995 | $1.33 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.947 | $1.39 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.988 | $1.6 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.976 | $2.8 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.995 | $2.1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.993 | $2.22 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.970 | $3.6 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.986 | $2.5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.979 | $3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.991 | $3.2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.974 | $5.81 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.965 | $5.3 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.35 | $0.979 | $5.24 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.53 | $0.978 | $5.41 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.53 | $0.976 | $5.4 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.971 | $5.2 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.949 | $11.86 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | sell | 9.04 | $0.992 | $8.97 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.335 | $1.29K | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.665 | $1.29K | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?Yes | buy | 9.05 | $0.995 | $9 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 72.53 | $0.272 | $19.73 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 72.54 | $0.276 | $20.02 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 203.3 | $0.458 | $93.11 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 203.3 | $0.469 | $95.35 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 112.18 | $0.850 | $95.35 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 112.19 | $0.860 | $96.48 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 186.61 | $0.517 | $96.48 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 186.62 | $0.517 | $96.48 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 107.2 | $0.900 | $96.48 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 107.21 | $0.920 | $98.63 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 99.17 | $0.255 | $25.24 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 99.17 | $0.740 | $73.39 | Aug 26, 2024 |