Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.114 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 16.78 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.03 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 6.99 | $0.050 | $0.35 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.006 | $0.05 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.143 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Yes | buy | 16.78 | $0.238 | $4 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.152 | $4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | sell | 2.8 | $0.540 | $1.51 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.124 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.992 | $1.05 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.160 | $0.89 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 3.36 | $0.991 | $3.33 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?Yes | sell | 10.75 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.380 | $1.33 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.630 | $14 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Andrew Tate vs. Chase DemoorTate | buy | 28.57 | $0.875 | $25 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.800 | $0.85 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.020 | $0.15 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.170 | $0.47 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 2.38 | $0.001 | $0 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 11.52 | $0.317 | $3.66 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 2.39 | $0.419 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.236 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.297 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.186 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will "Peace" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Named storm forms before hurricane season?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.87 | $0.437 | $3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |