Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.6% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 6.6% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $69.41K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 6.6% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Drippyxbt1 | Yes | 3.35K |
| WhateverBro | Yes | 2.03K |
| Large-Sequel | Yes | 1.56K |
| Impeccable-Slang | Yes | 1.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On December 15, 2025, Donald Trump publicly referenced allegations that Rep. Ilhan Omar married her brother. On the following day, Tom Homan, former acting ICE director and Trump administration border czar, said officials are reviewing historical records related to the allegations, with no charges announced. This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming that Ilhan Omar has been married to her brother for any period of time is publicly released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, it will also suffice if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally files criminal charges or announces an indictment against Ilhan Omar that clearly and explicitly accuse her of having married her brother, including charges brought under immigration or marriage-fraud statutes such allegations that she knowingly entered into a marriage with her brother to obtain or facilitate U.S. immigration or legal status. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-did-ilhan-omar-marry-her-brother
| Tough-Fencing | Yes | 1.12K |
| 0x200c1...096c3 | Yes | 746.27 |
| Homely-Board | Yes | 745.93 |
| 27KC | Yes | 736.92 |
| randiply | Yes | 731.01 |
| Bright Sphinx 1412 | Yes | 729.65 |
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