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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 162.69 | $0.876 | $160.01 | +$17.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 83.37 |
| $0.864 |
| $78.83 |
| +$6.83 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 70.35 | $0.853 | $60.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 65.33 | $0.918 | $56.8 | -$3.2 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 67.67 | $0.887 | $56.51 | -$3.49 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 35.85 | $0.801 | $34.65 | +$5.94 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 59.85 | $0.720 | $28.43 | -$14.66 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? | No | 23.81 | $0.840 | $22.26 | +$2.26 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | No | 14.49 | $0.690 | $13.12 | +$3.12 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 24.22 | $0.485 | $4.08 | -$7.67 |
| buy |
| 32.79 |
| $0.915 |
| $30 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 22.86 | $0.875 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.900 | $15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.62 | $0.870 | $44.04 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 60.85 | $0.493 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 207.19 | $0.483 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 33.48 | $0.896 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 96.26 | $0.935 | $90 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 16.61 | $0.903 | $15 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 56.96 | $0.861 | $49.04 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 25.88 | $0.966 | $25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 69.89 | $0.880 | $61.5 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 7.75 | $0.500 | $3.88 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.14 | $0.620 | $1.94 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 13.6 | $0.883 | $12 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 38.89 | $0.900 | $35 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 28.91 | $0.934 | $27 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 56.58 | $0.760 | $43 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 70.08 | $0.870 | $60.97 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 42.17 | $0.830 | $35 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 56.18 | $0.890 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 58.72 | $0.851 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.987 | $1.24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?Yes | sell | 61.82 | $0.020 | $1.24 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?Yes | buy | 149.47 | $0.976 | $145.87 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?Yes | buy | 61.82 | $0.809 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be above 0.4%?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |