Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 47 points from 53.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 57% on 21 Nov 2025 and the low 6% on 2 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 7%; a month ago, 13%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 37.5% on 22 Nov 2025.
It is one of 20 markets under “Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?”.
$4.69K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $436.16, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 200 trades, $618.3 bought Yes and $936.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 155 shares; the largest No position is alwaysOn with 481. Ten wallets hold 73.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 307 points · 6 Nov 2025 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 53.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alwaysOn | No | 481.28 |
| AJSV | Yes | 154.63 |
| Dishonest-Ziggurat | No | 152.33 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026
8 more markets, none above 6.0%.
| Prickly-Eyrie |
| No |
| 140.56 |
| Pleasant-Airline | Yes | 130 |
| iamkingofbay | No | 128.55 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 103.5 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 95.71 |
| Neon Comet 5CFC | Yes | 65.63 |
| Lurki | Yes | 60.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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