Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 46 points from 63% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 323 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 18%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 17.5% on 1 Oct 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?”.
$26.01K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.17K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.75K bought Yes and $1.34K bought No; the largest was a $1.09K buy of Yes at 49.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Hyperlong with 683 shares; the largest No position is Gaditima with 466. Ten wallets hold 68.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 323 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 63.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong | Yes | 683.47 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 475.71 |
| Gaditima | No | 465.81 |
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026
8 more markets, none above 6.0%.
| cowcat |
| No |
| 426 |
| Robbb | No | 345.84 |
| Solar Beacon D366 | No | 200 |
| Trained-Notion | No | 200 |
| alwaysOn | No | 163.56 |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 133 |
| NoPeeking | Yes | 122.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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