Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.31K | $0.780 | $1.7K | -$103.84 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 59.22 | $0.870 | $51.52 | Jul 28, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 731.71 |
| $0.820 |
| $678.66 |
| +$78.66 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 297.03 | $0.845 | $285.6 | +$34.6 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | No | 204.29 | $0.979 | $198.06 | -$1.94 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 59.22 | $0.870 | $53 | +$1.48 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 42.55 | $0.940 | $41.26 | +$1.26 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 22.55 | $0.962 | $22.22 | +$0.53 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9.17 | +$0.17 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.65 | $0.860 | $5.28 | +$0.42 |
| buy |
| 2.18K |
| $0.780 |
| $1.7K |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 22.55 | $0.962 | $21.69 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.73 | $0.962 | $20.9 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.62 | $0.984 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.91 | $0.981 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.14 | $0.989 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 102.12 | $0.979 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 304.52 | $0.985 | $300 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 52.69 | $0.949 | $50 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 731.71 | $0.820 | $600 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 204.29 | $0.979 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 531.44 | $0.941 | $500 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 415.37 | $0.963 | $400 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 235.29 | $0.850 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.65 | $0.860 | $4.86 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.31 | $0.973 | $11 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.992 | $11 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 24.63 | $0.812 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.969 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 32.81 | $0.978 | $32.09 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 38.75 | $0.800 | $31 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 22.34 | $0.940 | $21 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 79.79 | $0.940 | $75 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 46.25 | $0.973 | $45 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 118.28 | $0.930 | $110 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.976 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 164.1 | $0.965 | $158.36 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 20.73 | $0.965 | $20 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.953 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.946 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| US defaults on debt in 2025?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.960 | $1.6K | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | May 15, 2025 |