Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.730 | $34.31 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No| sell |
| 98 |
| $0.180 |
| $17.64 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.938 | $26.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.938 | $26.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.220 | $11.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 105 | $0.380 | $39.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.420 | $27.72 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 134 | $0.046 | $6.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.048 | $6.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.193 | $23.35 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.193 | $29.34 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.039 | $4.72 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 121.01 | $0.032 | $3.87 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Wimbledon: Draper vs. BaezDraper | buy | 21 | $0.959 | $20.14 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.971 | $1.99 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | May 20, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.954 | $9.54 | May 20, 2025 |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.953 | $9.53 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.964 | $8.68 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.017 | $1.19 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July?No | sell | 11 | $0.931 | $10.24 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.026 | $0.39 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 9 | $0.983 | $8.85 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | sell | 7 | $0.954 | $6.68 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | sell | 43 | $0.028 | $1.2 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 52 | $0.033 | $1.72 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 12 | $0.819 | $9.83 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.986 | $1.92 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Rumble buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.035 | $0.46 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.987 | $11.84 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No | sell | 14 | $0.962 | $13.47 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Apr 11?No | buy | 14 | $0.959 | $13.43 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 14 | $0.937 | $13.12 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 14 | $0.940 | $13.16 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 22 | $0.975 | $21.45 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.028 | $0.53 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 24 | $0.977 | $23.45 | Apr 3, 2025 |