Latest trade
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:06 PM UTC.
Analytics
lucas-avle is down $5.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 38 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 12, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 4:06 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Dec 7, 2025 UTC to Dec 12, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.730 | $1.42 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-12 23:15 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:06 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 16:06 UTC
polymarket positions
40 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-12 23:15 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $15.3 and losing ones cost $0.55 across 38 settled positions. 71.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.09 on “Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?” (No); the largest loss, $0.13 on “Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 12 Dec 2025. It has traded 56 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.41 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.54 |
| $0.650 |
| $0.16 |
| -$0.84 |
 Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
 Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 1.22 |
| $0.820 |
| $1 |
| Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Nets vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Hawks vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Pacers vs. 76ers76ers | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. KingsNuggets | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Celtics vs. BucksCeltics | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Clippers vs. RocketsRockets | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.860 | $1.73 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.310 | $1.94 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.840 | $1.92 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.14 | $0.240 | $0.99 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.200 | $0.87 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.710 | $1.43 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.310 | $0.97 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.216 | $1.03 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.950 | $1.01 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 2.34 | $0.670 | $1.57 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Spurs vs. LakersLakers | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.640 | $1.5 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.740 | $1.5 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.5 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Suns vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.890 | $1.01 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.830 | $1.07 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Suns vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.690 | $1.8 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.993 | $1.74 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.569 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.