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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.027 |
| $2.7 |
| Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.007 | $21 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.007 | $21 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by April 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 59.25 | $0.470 | $27.85 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 36.73 | $0.930 | $34.16 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 36.72 | $0.930 | $34.15 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.300 | $18 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.007 | $2.8 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.300 | $18 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 857.14 | $0.007 | $6 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.007 | $3.01 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.009 | $1.89 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.097 | $29.1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 35 | $0.903 | $31.61 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 25 | $0.862 | $21.55 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran in April?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.023 | $1.04 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.340 | $40.8 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 73.44 | $0.910 | $66.83 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | sell | 81.22 | $0.400 | $32.49 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | sell | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 220 | $0.400 | $88 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 240 | $0.590 | $141.6 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.580 | $4 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 59.26 | $0.270 | $16 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.910 | $16.38 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.460 | $16.56 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.090 | $1.29 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.230 | $3.22 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.520 | $6.29 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura score the most points at the Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 12.65 | $0.869 | $11 | Mar 4, 2025 |