Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 50% on 1 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 18.8% on 4 Apr 2025. $189.21K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 1 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sergeycirov | Yes | 346.25 |
| eDNaRRWDhR | Yes | 285 |
| marianelamarianela | Yes | 166.67 |
| KBodXBCroD | Yes | 0.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the release date of GPT-5.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-released
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| xXktinkiLi | Yes | 0.64 |
| aYLQZkgaZB | Yes | 0.41 |
| UlOJSjclIQ | Yes | 0.39 |
| bjiouKpvfm | Yes | 0.03 |
| IMweRRFedA | Yes | 0.01 |
| spJQfHJGHd | Yes | 0.01 |
