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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 6d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.77 |
| $0.530 |
| $2.96 |
| +$0.96 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 3.85 | $0.520 | $0.52 | -$1.48 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.560 | $0.41 | -$1.3 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.500 |
| $2 |
| 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.702 | $2 | 17d ago |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.288 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.490 | $1.16 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.328 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.390 | $1.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.8 | $0.510 | $1.43 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3 | $0.490 | $1.47 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?No | sell | 8 | $0.240 | $1.92 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.240 | $0.82 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Central Casting" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.850 | $2.15 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |