Latest trade
Sep 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:00 PM UTC.
Analytics
onchainhot is down $3.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:00 PM UTC.
$8.14 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Mar 11, 2025 UTC to Sep 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 36.2 | $0.902 | $35.39 | +$2.73 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.973 | $5.05 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-08 09:41 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 19:00 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-08 09:41 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22.86 and losing ones cost $17.17 across 24 settled positions. 62.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.5 on “Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?” (No); the largest loss, $5.07 on “Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Sep 2026. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $41.35 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 6.24 |
| $0.939 |
| $5.83 |
| -$0.03 |
 Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | Yes | 5.14 | $0.210 | $0.13 | -$0.95 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No| buy |
| 5.12 |
| $0.989 |
| $5.06 |
| Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid | buy | 5.16 | $0.690 | $3.56 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | buy | 1.54 | $0.642 | $0.99 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.992 | $5.25 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.75 | $0.937 | $2.58 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 3.25 | $0.937 | $3.05 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.966 | $5.32 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.171 | $1.03 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No | buy | 5.25 | $0.978 | $5.13 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.990 | $6.44 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.210 | $1.08 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 42.2 | $0.902 | $38.06 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.989 | $0.03 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No | buy | 10.7 | $0.989 | $10.58 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $170 in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.939 | $5.86 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.989 | $1.26 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.987 | $7.52 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.987 | $12.22 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.760 | $3.95 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 11.98 | $0.938 | $11.24 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.938 | $15.13 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.938 | $22.51 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 48.9 | $0.983 | $48.07 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.996 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.997 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.978 | $1.13K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.979 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.997 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.998 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 206.7 | $0.998 | $206.29 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 201 | $0.998 | $200.6 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 32.36 | $0.998 | $32.3 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 34.59 | $0.998 | $34.52 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 8.13 | $0.998 | $8.11 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.998 | $8.17 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | sell | 654.02 | $0.998 | $652.71 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.998 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.995 | $1.14K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.996 | $1.15K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.982 | $1.13K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.983 | $1.13K | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.34 | $0.320 | $4.59 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
 Solana ETF approved in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.08 | $0.918 | $6.5 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
 US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 6.81 | $0.952 | $6.48 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.37 | $0.440 | $6.32 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 9.35 | $0.850 | $7.95 | Jun 29, 2025 UTC |
| US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 9.36 | $0.590 | $5.52 | Mar 11, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.