Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 102.5 | $0.195 | $86.61 | +$66.61 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 62.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $38.44 |
| +$28.44 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 39.13 | $0.767 | $36.78 | +$6.78 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.350 | $14.45 | -$20.55 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.340 | $2.5 | -$7.5 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.450 | $1.44 | -$8.56 |
| buy |
| 310 |
| $0.140 |
| $43.4 |
| Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETUp | buy | 24.92 | $0.390 | $9.72 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.880 | $6.6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by March 31?No | buy | 26.21 | $0.763 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 29.9 | $0.669 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will India join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Italy join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 31.62 | $0.316 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.5 | $0.195 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |